I agree with that assessment. The bloody transition will involve a great deal of sublimating nationalism and populism that has been carefully engineered over the past half-century, and that kind of unraveling doesn't occur without breaking more than a few eggs. In broad terms, the major powers are mostly scuffling over proprietary rights concerning the future economic climate (assuming there will be one). Someone should chronicle the entrenched fat families and check their progress and distribution. "A Song of Fat Old Liars" by Ralph Q.Q. Hurtin.