Yeah, that was the same poll I used before I spouted off.
Yes, I'll admit these past 2 years have seen a dramatic "flip" in opinion which could be due to any number of things, but if you look at the trend from the early/mid 90s as I previously stated you cannot argue the fact that the trend has fallen for pro-life and risen for pro-choice. Even if the rates have more or less evened out and stay 50% (+/- 5 points), it has gone in a direction where a pro-life candidate risks a lot by taking the hard line.
If we use hyperbole (which, lets be honest, is the name of the game of the circus surrounding a campaign) and people are asked to choose between "OMG partial birth abortions!" vs "OMG abortion totally outlawed!" the former is going to win, especially since a higher percentage of women vote than men. And that's the big bugaboo. Because yes, there are millions of women who would never have an abortion, but they'll still vote pro-choice simply due to the fact that an outside entity telling them what they can or cannot do.
I just clicked your links and realized it wasn't the same thing I was looking at earlier.
[
www.lifenews.com]
Article, but using Gallup data.
[
www.nationalreview.com]#
The kicker is the age ranges. The oldest group having the most pro-life and youngest group having the most pro-choice. There isn't enough data to indicate that someone's opinion will change as they get older or if the younger generations are more and more okay with it (i'd hedge towards the latter)
Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at 11/09/2012 02:01PM by Lokain.